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Opened Mar 07, 2025 by Cleo Cota@cleocota630522
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Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop


Company makes third cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market hits biofuel prices

(Adds analyst, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)

By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel service for the third time this year due to falling prices and also decreased its anticipated sales volumes, sending the business's share cost down 10%.

Neste said a drop in the cost of regular diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock remained high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has produced a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent industry.

Neste in a statement slashed the expected average equivalent sales margin of its renewables system to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The business now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had actually predicted because the start of the year, it added.

A part of the originated from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now anticipated to offer in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.

"Renewable products' list prices have been negatively impacted by a significant decrease in (the) diesel price during the 3rd quarter," Neste said in a statement.

"At the exact same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have not decreased and sustainable product market rate premiums have stayed weak," the company included.

Industry executives and experts have stated quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel producers are looking for brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually announced they are stopping briefly expansion strategies in Europe.

While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel rate was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.

Neste's share price had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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Reference: cleocota630522/mission-newenergy-ltd#5